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If Bernstein’s $10 trillion prediction market turnover forecast is realized or exceeded, it’d likely prove significant in revenue terms because the research firm previously estimated that $1 trillion in yearly activity could generate as much as $10.8 billion in revenue for operators.
As has been widely documented, sports event contracts are currently the lifeblood of the prediction market industry, but Bernstein notes that won’t be the case on a permanent basis. In fact, the research firm estimates that sports derivatives’ share of industry volume will decline to 35% in 2035, indicating that the aforementioned volume increase will be led by other categories.
The research firm estimates that by 2035, financial derivatives, including event contracts linked to commodities, cryptocurrencies and stocks, will account for 49% of turnover on yes/no exchanges, topping sports to become the largest volume driver. The research firm sees event contracts tied to key performance indicators (KPIs) leading the charge.
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The first was direct marketing (emails, texts, push notifications). Citing randomised studies, the committee noted that limiting direct marketing resulted in reduced betting and fewer short-term harms.
Referencing an Australian study on direct marketing and its link to gambling harms, Dr Philip Newall, senior lecturer at the University of Bristol noted that “causality was established by getting a random subset of participants to opt-out of receiving direct marketing offers”.
It was found that “this group then self-reported significantly lower expenditure and harms [ … ] over the next two weeks”.
About Shadow Society
In the meantime, Durango Casino & Resort continues to reward players with huge jackpots from popular games like Panda Magic, one of the Dragon Link slot machines available at the High Limit slot room.
One such event occurred in April 2026 when a particularly lucky guest claimed the Grand Jackpot prize of $1,159,768.43 after placing an initial wager of $25 at the off-Strip casino resort.
The casino has continued to introduce several worthwhile expansions aimed at its gaming facilities, including the Fortune Coin Bonus Room featuring three available must-hit jackpots (Mini, Major, and Grand).
